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Physics Maths Engineering

Welfare costs of suboptimal retiree decisions

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Harun Aydilek,

Harun Aydilek


Asiye Aydilek

Asiye Aydilek


  Peer Reviewed

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© attribution CC-BY

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72 Views

Added on

2024-12-15

Doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0307379

Abstract

We make a novel investigation of welfare costs associated with various suboptimal decisions made by retirees, both analytically and numerically. We utilize a unique framework that incorporates recursive utility with housing, and also encompasses expected utility and recursive utility without housing as special cases. Our findings indicate that under-investment in stocks incurs lower welfare costs compared to an equivalent over-investment. Suboptimal allocations in bond holdings result in higher costs than similar misallocations in stocks. Choosing not to participate in the stock market is less detrimental than avoiding the bond market. Should retirees opt to simplify their decision-making by investing solely in one type of asset, it is less costly for them to invest exclusively in bonds. Overconsumption of housing is less costly than an equivalent underconsumption. Suboptimal consumption imposes the highest welfare cost. Decisions regarding consumption, housing, and savings are found to be more crucial than the choice of how to distribute liquid savings between stocks and bonds. Additionally, recursive utility model better captures retirees’ preference for bonds over stocks than expected utility model. Our results, which are consistent across various parameter settings, provide valuable insights for academics and policymakers aiming to enhance retiree welfare.

Key Questions

  • What are the welfare costs of suboptimal investment decisions by retirees?

    Suboptimal decisions in investment incur varying welfare costs. Misallocations in bond holdings are more detrimental than in stocks. Among all decisions, suboptimal consumption imposes the highest welfare costs, underscoring its critical impact on retiree welfare.
  • Is under-investing in stocks less costly than over-investing?

    Yes, under-investment in stocks results in lower welfare costs compared to equivalent over-investment, according to the study.
  • How does avoiding the bond market impact retiree welfare?

    Avoiding the bond market has a more negative impact on welfare than choosing not to participate in the stock market, indicating the critical role bonds play in retiree portfolios.
  • Why is simplifying investments into bonds less costly than other choices?

    Retirees who simplify their investment strategy by holding only bonds incur lower welfare costs than those who invest exclusively in other asset types. Bonds provide stability and align well with retirees’ risk preferences.
  • What is the impact of suboptimal housing consumption on retiree welfare?

    Overconsumption of housing is less costly than underconsumption. Housing decisions have significant welfare implications but are less impactful than suboptimal consumption or savings decisions.
  • How does the recursive utility model differ from the expected utility model in capturing retiree preferences?

    The recursive utility model better reflects retirees’ preferences for bonds over stocks compared to the expected utility model. It provides a more nuanced understanding of retirees’ risk and time preferences.

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Article usage: Dec-2024 to Jun-2025
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Show by month Manuscript Video Summary
2025 June 8 8
2025 May 12 12
2025 April 9 9
2025 March 15 15
2025 February 11 11
2025 January 8 8
2024 December 9 9
Total 72 72
Related Subjects
Physics
Math
Chemistry
Computer science
Engineering
Earth science
Biology
copyright icon

© attribution CC-BY

  • 0

rating
72 Views

Added on

2024-12-15

Doi: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0307379

Related Subjects
Physics
Math
Chemistry
Computer science
Engineering
Earth science
Biology

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